The US economy is expected to slow the rest of the year as tariffs take a bigger toll on consumers and businesses, immigration constraints intensify

UBS expects the US economy to slow significantly in 2025, projecting real GDP growth to fall to around 1%. In a note to clients issued Tuesday, the bank pointed to a combination of fading fiscal support, elevated interest rates, and persistent inflation as key drivers of the expected deceleration.

US tariff policy reduces trade and heightens uncertainty, decelerating both economic and insurance premium growth around the world, a recent Swiss Re

Global growth is decelerating as US tariff policy reduces trade and heightens uncertainty, says Swiss Re Institute. The analysis concedes the effect may not be fully visible in the economic data yet,

The US job market looks strong on paper, but falling immigration and labor force shrinkage are quietly weakening its foundation.

On a monthly basis, prices climbed 0.3% from May to June, after rising just 0.1% the previous month.